Rejlers AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 144.90

REJL-B Stock  SEK 146.60  1.40  0.96%   
Rejlers AB's future price is the expected price of Rejlers AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rejlers AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rejlers AB Backtesting, Rejlers AB Valuation, Rejlers AB Correlation, Rejlers AB Hype Analysis, Rejlers AB Volatility, Rejlers AB History as well as Rejlers AB Performance.
  
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Rejlers AB Target Price Odds to finish over 144.90

The tendency of Rejlers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 144.90  in 90 days
 146.60 90 days 144.90 
about 77.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rejlers AB to stay above kr 144.90  in 90 days from now is about 77.61 (This Rejlers AB probability density function shows the probability of Rejlers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rejlers AB price to stay between kr 144.90  and its current price of kr146.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rejlers AB has a beta of -0.26 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rejlers AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rejlers AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rejlers AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rejlers AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rejlers AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rejlers AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
144.74146.60148.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
121.07122.93161.26
Details

Rejlers AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rejlers AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rejlers AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rejlers AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rejlers AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
4.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Rejlers AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rejlers AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rejlers AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rejlers AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Rejlers AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rejlers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rejlers AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rejlers AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments151.9 M

Rejlers AB Technical Analysis

Rejlers AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rejlers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rejlers AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rejlers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rejlers AB Predictive Forecast Models

Rejlers AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rejlers AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rejlers AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rejlers AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rejlers AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rejlers AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rejlers AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Rejlers Stock

Rejlers AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rejlers Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rejlers with respect to the benefits of owning Rejlers AB security.