Revolution Beauty (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.46
| REVB Stock | 13.74 0.26 1.86% |
Revolution |
Revolution Beauty Target Price Odds to finish below 15.46
The tendency of Revolution Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 15.46 after 90 days |
| 13.74 | 90 days | 15.46 | about 59.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Revolution Beauty to stay under 15.46 after 90 days from now is about 59.22 (This Revolution Beauty Group probability density function shows the probability of Revolution Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Revolution Beauty price to stay between its current price of 13.74 and 15.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Revolution Beauty Group has a beta of -1.5 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Revolution Beauty Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Revolution Beauty is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Revolution Beauty Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Revolution Beauty Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Revolution Beauty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Revolution Beauty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Revolution Beauty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Revolution Beauty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Revolution Beauty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Revolution Beauty Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Revolution Beauty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Revolution Beauty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Revolution Beauty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Revolution Beauty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Revolution Beauty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Revolution Beauty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Revolution Beauty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: UBS Reduces Holdings in Revolution Beauty Group Below 5 percent - TipRanks |
Revolution Beauty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Revolution Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Revolution Beauty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Revolution Beauty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 334.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.6 M |
Revolution Beauty Technical Analysis
Revolution Beauty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Revolution Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Revolution Beauty Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Revolution Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Revolution Beauty Predictive Forecast Models
Revolution Beauty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Revolution Beauty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Revolution Beauty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Revolution Beauty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Revolution Beauty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Revolution Beauty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Revolution Beauty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Revolution Beauty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Revolution Beauty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: UBS Reduces Holdings in Revolution Beauty Group Below 5 percent - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Revolution Stock Analysis
When running Revolution Beauty's price analysis, check to measure Revolution Beauty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Revolution Beauty is operating at the current time. Most of Revolution Beauty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Revolution Beauty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Revolution Beauty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Revolution Beauty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.