Roebuck Food (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.90
| RFG Stock | 16.80 0.00 0.00% |
Roebuck |
Roebuck Food Target Price Odds to finish below 10.90
The tendency of Roebuck Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.90 or more in 90 days |
| 16.80 | 90 days | 10.90 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roebuck Food to drop to 10.90 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Roebuck Food Group probability density function shows the probability of Roebuck Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Roebuck Food Group price to stay between 10.90 and its current price of 16.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Roebuck Food Group has a beta of -0.0611 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Roebuck Food are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Roebuck Food Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Roebuck Food Group has an alpha of 0.0867, implying that it can generate a 0.0867 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Roebuck Food Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Roebuck Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roebuck Food Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Roebuck Food Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roebuck Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roebuck Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roebuck Food Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roebuck Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Roebuck Food Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roebuck Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roebuck Food Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 26.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 110 K. | |
| About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Roebuck Food Group details investment and fundraise plans By Investing.com - Investing.com |
Roebuck Food Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Roebuck Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Roebuck Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roebuck Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.7 M |
Roebuck Food Technical Analysis
Roebuck Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roebuck Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roebuck Food Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roebuck Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Roebuck Food Predictive Forecast Models
Roebuck Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Roebuck Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Roebuck Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Roebuck Food Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Roebuck Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roebuck Food Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 26.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 110 K. | |
| About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Roebuck Food Group details investment and fundraise plans By Investing.com - Investing.com |
Other Information on Investing in Roebuck Stock
Roebuck Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Roebuck Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Roebuck with respect to the benefits of owning Roebuck Food security.