Regis Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.62

RGRNF Stock  USD 1.66  0.13  7.26%   
Regis Resources' future price is the expected price of Regis Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Regis Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Regis Resources Backtesting, Regis Resources Valuation, Regis Resources Correlation, Regis Resources Hype Analysis, Regis Resources Volatility, Regis Resources History as well as Regis Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Regis Resources' target price for which you would like Regis Resources odds to be computed.

Regis Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 1.62

The tendency of Regis Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 1.62  or more in 90 days
 1.66 90 days 1.62 
about 61.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regis Resources to drop to $ 1.62  or more in 90 days from now is about 61.13 (This Regis Resources probability density function shows the probability of Regis Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regis Resources price to stay between $ 1.62  and its current price of $1.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Regis Resources has a beta of -0.3 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Regis Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Regis Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Regis Resources has an alpha of 0.585, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Regis Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Regis Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regis Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.665.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.355.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.625.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.621.691.77
Details

Regis Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regis Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regis Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regis Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regis Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Regis Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regis Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regis Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Regis Resources may become a speculative penny stock
Regis Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Regis Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regis Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regis Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regis Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding754.8 M

Regis Resources Technical Analysis

Regis Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regis Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regis Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regis Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Regis Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Regis Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Regis Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regis Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Regis Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Regis Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regis Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Regis Resources may become a speculative penny stock
Regis Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Regis Pink Sheet

Regis Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Regis Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Regis with respect to the benefits of owning Regis Resources security.