Victory Rs Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 24.44

RGWCX Fund  USD 25.12  0.34  1.37%   
Victory Rs' future price is the expected price of Victory Rs instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Victory Rs Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Victory Rs Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Victory Rs Correlation, Victory Rs Hype Analysis, Victory Rs Volatility, Victory Rs History as well as Victory Rs Performance.
  
Please specify Victory Rs' target price for which you would like Victory Rs odds to be computed.

Victory Rs Target Price Odds to finish below 24.44

The tendency of Victory Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 24.44  or more in 90 days
 25.12 90 days 24.44 
about 92.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victory Rs to drop to $ 24.44  or more in 90 days from now is about 92.02 (This Victory Rs Growth probability density function shows the probability of Victory Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Victory Rs Growth price to stay between $ 24.44  and its current price of $25.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.62 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Victory Rs has a beta of 0.9 indicating Victory Rs Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Victory Rs is expected to follow. Additionally Victory Rs Growth has an alpha of 0.0507, implying that it can generate a 0.0507 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Victory Rs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Victory Rs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Rs Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Rs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7224.7825.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.3324.3925.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.7924.8525.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.0324.3424.65
Details

Victory Rs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victory Rs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victory Rs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victory Rs Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victory Rs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Victory Rs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victory Rs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victory Rs Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.81% of its assets in stocks

Victory Rs Technical Analysis

Victory Rs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victory Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victory Rs Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victory Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Victory Rs Predictive Forecast Models

Victory Rs' time-series forecasting models is one of many Victory Rs' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Victory Rs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Victory Rs Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Victory Rs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victory Rs Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.81% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Victory Mutual Fund

Victory Rs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Victory Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Victory with respect to the benefits of owning Victory Rs security.
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