Regional Health Properties Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 0.53

RHE-PA Preferred Stock  USD 0.38  0.02  5.00%   
Regional Health's future price is the expected price of Regional Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Regional Health Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Regional Health Backtesting, Regional Health Valuation, Regional Health Correlation, Regional Health Hype Analysis, Regional Health Volatility, Regional Health History as well as Regional Health Performance.
  
Please specify Regional Health's target price for which you would like Regional Health odds to be computed.

Regional Health Target Price Odds to finish over 0.53

The tendency of Regional Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.53  or more in 90 days
 0.38 90 days 0.53 
about 23.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regional Health to move over $ 0.53  or more in 90 days from now is about 23.66 (This Regional Health Properties probability density function shows the probability of Regional Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regional Health Prop price to stay between its current price of $ 0.38  and $ 0.53  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Regional Health Properties has a beta of -2.93 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Regional Health Properties are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Regional Health is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Regional Health Properties has an alpha of 1.1572, implying that it can generate a 1.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Regional Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Regional Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional Health Prop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3815.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3515.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.3815.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.340.480.63
Details

Regional Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regional Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regional Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regional Health Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regional Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.93
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Regional Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regional Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regional Health Prop can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Regional Health Prop is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Regional Health Prop has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Regional Health Prop appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Regional Health Prop has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Regional Health Properties has accumulated 121.64 M in total debt. Regional Health Prop has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Regional Health until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Regional Health's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Regional Health Prop sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Regional to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Regional Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 26.69 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.18 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.52 M.
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Regional Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regional Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regional Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regional Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1688.00
Cash And Short Term Investments6792.00

Regional Health Technical Analysis

Regional Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regional Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regional Health Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regional Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Regional Health Predictive Forecast Models

Regional Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Regional Health's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regional Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Regional Health Prop

Checking the ongoing alerts about Regional Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regional Health Prop help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Regional Health Prop is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Regional Health Prop has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Regional Health Prop appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Regional Health Prop has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Regional Health Properties has accumulated 121.64 M in total debt. Regional Health Prop has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Regional Health until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Regional Health's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Regional Health Prop sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Regional to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Regional Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 26.69 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.18 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.52 M.
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Regional Preferred Stock

Regional Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Regional Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Regional with respect to the benefits of owning Regional Health security.