Reliance Home (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.26
| RHFL Stock | 3.12 0.14 4.70% |
Reliance |
Reliance Home Target Price Odds to finish over 2.26
The tendency of Reliance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 2.26 in 90 days |
| 3.12 | 90 days | 2.26 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reliance Home to stay above 2.26 in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Reliance Home Finance probability density function shows the probability of Reliance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Reliance Home Finance price to stay between 2.26 and its current price of 3.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Reliance Home has a beta of 0.0501 indicating as returns on the market go up, Reliance Home average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Reliance Home Finance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Reliance Home Finance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Reliance Home Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Reliance Home
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reliance Home Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Reliance Home Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reliance Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reliance Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reliance Home Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reliance Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Reliance Home Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reliance Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reliance Home Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Reliance Home generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Reliance Home has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Reliance Home has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 93.96 B. | |
| Reliance Home Finance has accumulated about 4.54 B in cash with (217.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Reliance Home Finance SEBI Issues Rs52 Crore Demand Notice to 2 in Illegal Fund Diversion Case - Moneylife |
Reliance Home Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reliance Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reliance Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reliance Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 507 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 121.5 M |
Reliance Home Technical Analysis
Reliance Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Reliance Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Reliance Home Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Reliance Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Reliance Home Predictive Forecast Models
Reliance Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Reliance Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Reliance Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Reliance Home Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Reliance Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Reliance Home Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Reliance Home generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Reliance Home has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Reliance Home has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 93.96 B. | |
| Reliance Home Finance has accumulated about 4.54 B in cash with (217.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Reliance Home Finance SEBI Issues Rs52 Crore Demand Notice to 2 in Illegal Fund Diversion Case - Moneylife |
Additional Tools for Reliance Stock Analysis
When running Reliance Home's price analysis, check to measure Reliance Home's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Reliance Home is operating at the current time. Most of Reliance Home's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Reliance Home's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Reliance Home's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Reliance Home to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.