Ricoh Company (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.81

RIC1 Stock  EUR 11.00  0.10  0.92%   
Ricoh Company's future price is the expected price of Ricoh Company instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ricoh Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ricoh Company Backtesting, Ricoh Company Valuation, Ricoh Company Correlation, Ricoh Company Hype Analysis, Ricoh Company Volatility, Ricoh Company History as well as Ricoh Company Performance.
  
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Ricoh Company Target Price Odds to finish over 12.81

The tendency of Ricoh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 12.81  or more in 90 days
 11.00 90 days 12.81 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ricoh Company to move over € 12.81  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ricoh Company probability density function shows the probability of Ricoh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ricoh Company price to stay between its current price of € 11.00  and € 12.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ricoh Company has a beta of 0.66 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ricoh Company average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ricoh Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ricoh Company has an alpha of 0.1695, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ricoh Company Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ricoh Company

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ricoh Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.1911.0012.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.8410.6512.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.2011.0112.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.4010.2811.17
Details

Ricoh Company Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ricoh Company is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ricoh Company's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ricoh Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ricoh Company within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Ricoh Company Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ricoh Company for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ricoh Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ricoh Company has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Ricoh Company Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ricoh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ricoh Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ricoh Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding637 M

Ricoh Company Technical Analysis

Ricoh Company's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ricoh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ricoh Company. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ricoh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ricoh Company Predictive Forecast Models

Ricoh Company's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ricoh Company's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ricoh Company's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ricoh Company

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ricoh Company for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ricoh Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ricoh Company has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Ricoh Stock

Ricoh Company financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ricoh Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ricoh with respect to the benefits of owning Ricoh Company security.