Rci Hospitality Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 57.09
| RICK Stock | USD 57.68 0.75 1.28% |
RCI |
RCI Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish below 57.09
The tendency of RCI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 57.09 or more in 90 days |
| 57.68 | 90 days | 57.09 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RCI Hospitality to drop to $ 57.09 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This RCI Hospitality Holdings probability density function shows the probability of RCI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RCI Hospitality Holdings price to stay between $ 57.09 and its current price of $57.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.14 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, RCI Hospitality will likely underperform. Additionally RCI Hospitality Holdings has an alpha of 0.4667, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). RCI Hospitality Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RCI Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RCI Hospitality Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RCI Hospitality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
RCI Hospitality Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RCI Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RCI Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RCI Hospitality Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RCI Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
RCI Hospitality Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RCI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RCI Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RCI Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.4 M |
RCI Hospitality Technical Analysis
RCI Hospitality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RCI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RCI Hospitality Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing RCI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RCI Hospitality Predictive Forecast Models
RCI Hospitality's time-series forecasting models is one of many RCI Hospitality's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RCI Hospitality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards RCI Hospitality in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, RCI Hospitality's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from RCI Hospitality options trading.
Check out RCI Hospitality Backtesting, RCI Hospitality Valuation, RCI Hospitality Correlation, RCI Hospitality Hype Analysis, RCI Hospitality Volatility, RCI Hospitality History as well as RCI Hospitality Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Restaraunts Hotels Motels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RCI Hospitality. If investors know RCI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RCI Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of RCI Hospitality Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RCI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RCI Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RCI Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RCI Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RCI Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RCI Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RCI Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RCI Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.