Ricky Putra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 73.5

RICY Stock  IDR 72.00  2.00  2.70%   
Ricky Putra's future price is the expected price of Ricky Putra instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ricky Putra Globalindo performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ricky Putra Backtesting, Ricky Putra Valuation, Ricky Putra Correlation, Ricky Putra Hype Analysis, Ricky Putra Volatility, Ricky Putra History as well as Ricky Putra Performance.
  
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Ricky Putra Target Price Odds to finish below 73.5

The tendency of Ricky Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  73.50  after 90 days
 72.00 90 days 73.50 
about 8.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ricky Putra to stay under  73.50  after 90 days from now is about 8.38 (This Ricky Putra Globalindo probability density function shows the probability of Ricky Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ricky Putra Globalindo price to stay between its current price of  72.00  and  73.50  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ricky Putra has a beta of 0.68 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ricky Putra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ricky Putra Globalindo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ricky Putra Globalindo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ricky Putra Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ricky Putra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ricky Putra Globalindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.3772.0074.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.8076.2578.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.6973.3275.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
70.9274.9278.91
Details

Ricky Putra Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ricky Putra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ricky Putra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ricky Putra Globalindo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ricky Putra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
4.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Ricky Putra Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ricky Putra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ricky Putra Globalindo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ricky Putra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.38 T. Net Loss for the year was (66.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 194.77 B.
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Ricky Putra Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ricky Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ricky Putra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ricky Putra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding641.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37 B

Ricky Putra Technical Analysis

Ricky Putra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ricky Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ricky Putra Globalindo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ricky Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ricky Putra Predictive Forecast Models

Ricky Putra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ricky Putra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ricky Putra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ricky Putra Globalindo

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ricky Putra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ricky Putra Globalindo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ricky Putra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.38 T. Net Loss for the year was (66.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 194.77 B.
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ricky Stock

Ricky Putra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ricky Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ricky with respect to the benefits of owning Ricky Putra security.