Domini International Opportunities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.97

RISEX Fund  USD 10.97  0.03  0.27%   
Domini International's future price is the expected price of Domini International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Domini International Opportunities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Domini International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Domini International Correlation, Domini International Hype Analysis, Domini International Volatility, Domini International History as well as Domini International Performance.
  
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Domini International Target Price Odds to finish over 11.97

The tendency of Domini Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.97  or more in 90 days
 10.97 90 days 11.97 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Domini International to move over $ 11.97  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Domini International Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Domini Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Domini International price to stay between its current price of $ 10.97  and $ 11.97  at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.15 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Domini International has a beta of 0.0261 indicating as returns on the market go up, Domini International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Domini International Opportunities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Domini International Opportunities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Domini International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Domini International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Domini International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Domini International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1910.9711.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1810.9611.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4211.2011.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5010.8611.22
Details

Domini International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Domini International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Domini International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Domini International Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Domini International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Domini International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Domini International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Domini International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Domini International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.39% of its assets in stocks

Domini International Technical Analysis

Domini International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Domini Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Domini International Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Domini Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Domini International Predictive Forecast Models

Domini International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Domini International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Domini International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Domini International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Domini International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Domini International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Domini International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.39% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Domini Mutual Fund

Domini International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Domini Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Domini with respect to the benefits of owning Domini International security.
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