Rocket Lab Usa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.84
| RKLB Stock | USD 25.67 0.23 0.90% |
Rocket |
Rocket Lab Target Price Odds to finish over 8.84
The tendency of Rocket Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 8.84 in 90 days |
| 25.67 | 90 days | 8.84 | about 68.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rocket Lab to stay above $ 8.84 in 90 days from now is about 68.57 (This Rocket Lab USA probability density function shows the probability of Rocket Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rocket Lab USA price to stay between $ 8.84 and its current price of $25.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.29 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.75 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Rocket Lab will likely underperform. In addition to that Rocket Lab USA has an alpha of 2.0179, implying that it can generate a 2.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Rocket Lab Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rocket Lab
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rocket Lab USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rocket Lab Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rocket Lab is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rocket Lab's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rocket Lab USA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rocket Lab within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.39 |
Rocket Lab Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rocket Lab for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rocket Lab USA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rocket Lab USA is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Rocket Lab USA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Rocket is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 244.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (182.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.99 M. | |
| Rocket Lab USA currently holds about 542.51 M in cash with (98.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.16. | |
| Rocket Lab USA has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 50000 shares by Saintil Merline of Rocket Lab at 25.5495 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Rocket Lab Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rocket Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rocket Lab's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rocket Lab's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 481.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 244.8 M |
Rocket Lab Technical Analysis
Rocket Lab's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rocket Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rocket Lab USA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rocket Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rocket Lab Predictive Forecast Models
Rocket Lab's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rocket Lab's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rocket Lab's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rocket Lab USA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rocket Lab for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rocket Lab USA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rocket Lab USA is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Rocket Lab USA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Rocket is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 244.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (182.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.99 M. | |
| Rocket Lab USA currently holds about 542.51 M in cash with (98.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.16. | |
| Rocket Lab USA has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 50000 shares by Saintil Merline of Rocket Lab at 25.5495 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Rocket Lab Backtesting, Rocket Lab Valuation, Rocket Lab Correlation, Rocket Lab Hype Analysis, Rocket Lab Volatility, Rocket Lab History as well as Rocket Lab Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rocket Lab. If investors know Rocket will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rocket Lab listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.38) | Revenue Per Share 0.739 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.549 | Return On Assets (0.11) | Return On Equity (0.37) |
The market value of Rocket Lab USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rocket that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rocket Lab's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rocket Lab's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rocket Lab's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rocket Lab's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rocket Lab's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rocket Lab is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rocket Lab's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.