Rakuten Inc Adr Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2.53

RKUNY Stock  USD 5.62  0.01  0.18%   
Rakuten's future price is the expected price of Rakuten instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rakuten Inc ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rakuten Backtesting, Rakuten Valuation, Rakuten Correlation, Rakuten Hype Analysis, Rakuten Volatility, Rakuten History as well as Rakuten Performance.
  
Please specify Rakuten's target price for which you would like Rakuten odds to be computed.

Rakuten Target Price Odds to finish below 2.53

The tendency of Rakuten Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 2.53  or more in 90 days
 5.62 90 days 2.53 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rakuten to drop to $ 2.53  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rakuten Inc ADR probability density function shows the probability of Rakuten Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rakuten Inc ADR price to stay between $ 2.53  and its current price of $5.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rakuten has a beta of 0.84 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rakuten average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rakuten Inc ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rakuten Inc ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rakuten Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rakuten

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rakuten Inc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.535.448.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.814.727.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.725.638.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.615.725.82
Details

Rakuten Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rakuten is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rakuten's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rakuten Inc ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rakuten within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Rakuten Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rakuten for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rakuten Inc ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rakuten Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rakuten Inc ADR has accumulated 3.4 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.42, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Rakuten Inc ADR has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rakuten until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rakuten's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rakuten Inc ADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rakuten to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rakuten's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.68 T. Net Loss for the year was (133.83 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (284.66 B).

Rakuten Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rakuten Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rakuten's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rakuten's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments4.4 T

Rakuten Technical Analysis

Rakuten's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rakuten Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rakuten Inc ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rakuten Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rakuten Predictive Forecast Models

Rakuten's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rakuten's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rakuten's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rakuten Inc ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rakuten for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rakuten Inc ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rakuten Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rakuten Inc ADR has accumulated 3.4 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.42, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Rakuten Inc ADR has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rakuten until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rakuten's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rakuten Inc ADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rakuten to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rakuten's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.68 T. Net Loss for the year was (133.83 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (284.66 B).

Additional Tools for Rakuten Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Rakuten's price analysis, check to measure Rakuten's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rakuten is operating at the current time. Most of Rakuten's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rakuten's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rakuten's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rakuten to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.