Rollins (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.73

RLS Stock  EUR 44.68  0.46  1.02%   
Rollins' future price is the expected price of Rollins instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rollins performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rollins Backtesting, Rollins Valuation, Rollins Correlation, Rollins Hype Analysis, Rollins Volatility, Rollins History as well as Rollins Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Rollins Stock please use our How to Invest in Rollins guide.
  
Please specify Rollins' target price for which you would like Rollins odds to be computed.

Rollins Target Price Odds to finish below 43.73

The tendency of Rollins Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 43.73  or more in 90 days
 44.68 90 days 43.73 
about 8.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rollins to drop to € 43.73  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.11 (This Rollins probability density function shows the probability of Rollins Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rollins price to stay between € 43.73  and its current price of €44.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rollins has a beta of 0.54 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rollins average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rollins will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rollins has an alpha of 0.0194, implying that it can generate a 0.0194 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rollins Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rollins

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rollins. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.5745.1446.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.9745.5447.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.2845.8547.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.5146.7048.89
Details

Rollins Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rollins is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rollins' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rollins, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rollins within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
1.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Rollins Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rollins for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rollins can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rollins has accumulated €39.9 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Rollins has accumulated 39.9 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Rollins has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rollins until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rollins' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rollins sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rollins to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rollins' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 50.0% of Rollins outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Rollins Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rollins Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rollins' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rollins' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding492.4 M

Rollins Technical Analysis

Rollins' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rollins Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rollins. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rollins Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rollins Predictive Forecast Models

Rollins' time-series forecasting models is one of many Rollins' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rollins' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rollins

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rollins for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rollins help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rollins has accumulated €39.9 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Rollins has accumulated 39.9 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Rollins has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rollins until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rollins' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rollins sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rollins to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rollins' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 50.0% of Rollins outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Rollins Stock

When determining whether Rollins is a strong investment it is important to analyze Rollins' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Rollins' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Rollins Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Rollins Backtesting, Rollins Valuation, Rollins Correlation, Rollins Hype Analysis, Rollins Volatility, Rollins History as well as Rollins Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Rollins Stock please use our How to Invest in Rollins guide.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rollins' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rollins is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rollins' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.