Royalty Management Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.85
RMCO Stock | 1.04 0.05 4.59% |
Royalty |
Royalty Management Target Price Odds to finish below 0.85
The tendency of Royalty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.85 or more in 90 days |
1.04 | 90 days | 0.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royalty Management to drop to 0.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Royalty Management Holding probability density function shows the probability of Royalty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Royalty Management price to stay between 0.85 and its current price of 1.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.82 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Royalty Management Holding has a beta of -0.52 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Royalty Management are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Royalty Management Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Royalty Management Holding has an alpha of 0.2772, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Royalty Management Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Royalty Management
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royalty Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Royalty Management's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Royalty Management Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royalty Management is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royalty Management's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royalty Management Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royalty Management within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Royalty Management Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royalty Management for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royalty Management can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Royalty Management has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Royalty Management had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 361.62 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
Royalty Management generates negative cash flow from operations | |
Royalty Management has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Royalty Management Holding Co. Sees Large Growth in Short Interest |
Royalty Management Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royalty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royalty Management's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royalty Management's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 195.5 K |
Royalty Management Technical Analysis
Royalty Management's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Royalty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Royalty Management Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Royalty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Royalty Management Predictive Forecast Models
Royalty Management's time-series forecasting models is one of many Royalty Management's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Royalty Management's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Royalty Management
Checking the ongoing alerts about Royalty Management for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Royalty Management help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Royalty Management has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Royalty Management had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 361.62 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
Royalty Management generates negative cash flow from operations | |
Royalty Management has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Royalty Management Holding Co. Sees Large Growth in Short Interest |
Check out Royalty Management Backtesting, Royalty Management Valuation, Royalty Management Correlation, Royalty Management Hype Analysis, Royalty Management Volatility, Royalty Management History as well as Royalty Management Performance. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Royalty Management. If investors know Royalty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Royalty Management listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.09) | Revenue Per Share 0.03 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.831 | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (0.17) |
The market value of Royalty Management is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Royalty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Royalty Management's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Royalty Management's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Royalty Management's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Royalty Management's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Royalty Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Royalty Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Royalty Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.