Royal Orchid (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 355.27
| ROHLTD Stock | 341.95 10.25 2.91% |
Royal |
Royal Orchid Target Price Odds to finish over 355.27
The tendency of Royal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 355.27 or more in 90 days |
| 341.95 | 90 days | 355.27 | about 20.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royal Orchid to move over 355.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.82 (This Royal Orchid Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Royal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Royal Orchid Hotels price to stay between its current price of 341.95 and 355.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Royal Orchid has a beta of 0.13 indicating as returns on the market go up, Royal Orchid average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Royal Orchid Hotels will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Royal Orchid Hotels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Royal Orchid Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Royal Orchid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royal Orchid Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Royal Orchid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Royal Orchid Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royal Orchid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royal Orchid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royal Orchid Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royal Orchid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Royal Orchid Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royal Orchid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royal Orchid Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Royal Orchid Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Royal Orchid Hotels is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Royal Orchid Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royal Orchid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Orchid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 510 M |
Royal Orchid Technical Analysis
Royal Orchid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Royal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Royal Orchid Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Royal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Royal Orchid Predictive Forecast Models
Royal Orchid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Royal Orchid's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Royal Orchid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Royal Orchid Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about Royal Orchid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Royal Orchid Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Royal Orchid Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Royal Orchid Hotels is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Royal Stock
Royal Orchid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Royal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Royal with respect to the benefits of owning Royal Orchid security.