Romsdal Sparebank (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 121.0

ROMSB Stock  NOK 121.00  2.98  2.40%   
Romsdal Sparebank's future price is the expected price of Romsdal Sparebank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Romsdal Sparebank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Romsdal Sparebank Backtesting, Romsdal Sparebank Valuation, Romsdal Sparebank Correlation, Romsdal Sparebank Hype Analysis, Romsdal Sparebank Volatility, Romsdal Sparebank History as well as Romsdal Sparebank Performance.
  
Please specify Romsdal Sparebank's target price for which you would like Romsdal Sparebank odds to be computed.

Romsdal Sparebank Target Price Odds to finish over 121.0

The tendency of Romsdal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 121.00 90 days 121.00 
about 41.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Romsdal Sparebank to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 41.55 (This Romsdal Sparebank probability density function shows the probability of Romsdal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Romsdal Sparebank has a beta of 0.0059 indicating as returns on the market go up, Romsdal Sparebank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Romsdal Sparebank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Romsdal Sparebank has an alpha of 0.0965, implying that it can generate a 0.0965 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Romsdal Sparebank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Romsdal Sparebank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Romsdal Sparebank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.15121.00121.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
108.90142.01142.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
120.20121.05121.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
114.39120.85127.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Romsdal Sparebank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Romsdal Sparebank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Romsdal Sparebank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Romsdal Sparebank.

Romsdal Sparebank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Romsdal Sparebank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Romsdal Sparebank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Romsdal Sparebank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Romsdal Sparebank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
3.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Romsdal Sparebank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Romsdal Sparebank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Romsdal Sparebank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Romsdal Sparebank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Romsdal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Romsdal Sparebank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Romsdal Sparebank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM

Romsdal Sparebank Technical Analysis

Romsdal Sparebank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Romsdal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Romsdal Sparebank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Romsdal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Romsdal Sparebank Predictive Forecast Models

Romsdal Sparebank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Romsdal Sparebank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Romsdal Sparebank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Romsdal Sparebank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Romsdal Sparebank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Romsdal Sparebank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Romsdal Stock

Romsdal Sparebank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Romsdal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Romsdal with respect to the benefits of owning Romsdal Sparebank security.