Royal Mail Plc Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.84
| ROYMFDelisted Stock | USD 3.84 0.00 0.00% |
Royal |
Royal Mail Target Price Odds to finish below 3.84
The tendency of Royal Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 3.84 | 90 days | 3.84 | about 60.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royal Mail to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 60.84 (This Royal Mail Plc probability density function shows the probability of Royal Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Royal Mail Plc has a beta of -0.34 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Royal Mail are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Royal Mail Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Royal Mail Plc has an alpha of 0.5157, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Royal Mail Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Royal Mail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royal Mail Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Royal Mail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royal Mail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royal Mail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royal Mail Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royal Mail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Royal Mail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royal Mail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royal Mail Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Royal Mail Plc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Royal Mail Plc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Royal Mail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royal Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royal Mail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Mail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 956.2 M |
Royal Mail Technical Analysis
Royal Mail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Royal Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Royal Mail Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Royal Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Royal Mail Predictive Forecast Models
Royal Mail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Royal Mail's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Royal Mail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Royal Mail Plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Royal Mail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Royal Mail Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Royal Mail Plc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Royal Mail Plc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Other Consideration for investing in Royal Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Royal Mail Plc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Royal Mail's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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