Rockridge Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0099

RRRLF Stock  USD 0.01  0  11.38%   
Rockridge Resources' future price is the expected price of Rockridge Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rockridge Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rockridge Resources Backtesting, Rockridge Resources Valuation, Rockridge Resources Correlation, Rockridge Resources Hype Analysis, Rockridge Resources Volatility, Rockridge Resources History as well as Rockridge Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Rockridge Resources' target price for which you would like Rockridge Resources odds to be computed.

Rockridge Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0099

The tendency of Rockridge Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.01  in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 71.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rockridge Resources to stay above $ 0.01  in 90 days from now is about 71.21 (This Rockridge Resources probability density function shows the probability of Rockridge Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rockridge Resources price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.0109 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rockridge Resources has a beta of 0.84 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rockridge Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rockridge Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rockridge Resources has an alpha of 0.8138, implying that it can generate a 0.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rockridge Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rockridge Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rockridge Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0010.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0010.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0110.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Rockridge Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rockridge Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rockridge Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rockridge Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rockridge Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Rockridge Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rockridge Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rockridge Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rockridge Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Rockridge Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Rockridge Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Rockridge Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Rockridge Resources has accumulated about 1.99 M in cash with (1.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Rockridge Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rockridge Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rockridge Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rockridge Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding99 M

Rockridge Resources Technical Analysis

Rockridge Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rockridge Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rockridge Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rockridge Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rockridge Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Rockridge Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Rockridge Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rockridge Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rockridge Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rockridge Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rockridge Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rockridge Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Rockridge Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Rockridge Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Rockridge Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Rockridge Resources has accumulated about 1.99 M in cash with (1.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Rockridge Pink Sheet

Rockridge Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rockridge Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rockridge with respect to the benefits of owning Rockridge Resources security.