Seaboard (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3110.07

S0V Stock  EUR 2,400  40.00  1.69%   
Seaboard's future price is the expected price of Seaboard instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seaboard performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Seaboard Backtesting, Seaboard Valuation, Seaboard Correlation, Seaboard Hype Analysis, Seaboard Volatility, Seaboard History as well as Seaboard Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Seaboard Stock please use our How to Invest in Seaboard guide.
  
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Seaboard Target Price Odds to finish below 3110.07

The tendency of Seaboard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 3,110  after 90 days
 2,400 90 days 3,110 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seaboard to stay under € 3,110  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Seaboard probability density function shows the probability of Seaboard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seaboard price to stay between its current price of € 2,400  and € 3,110  at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Seaboard has a beta of 0.0997. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Seaboard average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Seaboard will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Seaboard has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Seaboard Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seaboard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seaboard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,3992,4002,401
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,9671,9682,640
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,3202,3222,323
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,3662,4502,534
Details

Seaboard Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seaboard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seaboard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seaboard, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seaboard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
161.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Seaboard Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seaboard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seaboard can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seaboard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Seaboard Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seaboard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seaboard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seaboard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 M

Seaboard Technical Analysis

Seaboard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seaboard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seaboard. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seaboard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seaboard Predictive Forecast Models

Seaboard's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seaboard's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seaboard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seaboard

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seaboard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seaboard help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seaboard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Seaboard Stock

When determining whether Seaboard offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Seaboard's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Seaboard Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Seaboard Stock:
Check out Seaboard Backtesting, Seaboard Valuation, Seaboard Correlation, Seaboard Hype Analysis, Seaboard Volatility, Seaboard History as well as Seaboard Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Seaboard Stock please use our How to Invest in Seaboard guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seaboard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seaboard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seaboard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.