Snowflake (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.59

S2NW34 Stock  BRL 25.59  1.86  6.78%   
Snowflake's future price is the expected price of Snowflake instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Snowflake performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Snowflake Backtesting, Snowflake Valuation, Snowflake Correlation, Snowflake Hype Analysis, Snowflake Volatility, Snowflake History as well as Snowflake Performance.
For information on how to trade Snowflake Stock refer to our How to Trade Snowflake Stock guide.
  
Please specify Snowflake's target price for which you would like Snowflake odds to be computed.

Snowflake Target Price Odds to finish over 25.59

The tendency of Snowflake Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.59 90 days 25.59 
nearly 4.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Snowflake to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.48 (This Snowflake probability density function shows the probability of Snowflake Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Snowflake has a beta of 0.32. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Snowflake average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Snowflake will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Snowflake has an alpha of 0.8458, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Snowflake Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Snowflake

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Snowflake. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7025.5930.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7929.6834.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.4925.3730.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9120.7829.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Snowflake. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Snowflake's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Snowflake's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Snowflake.

Snowflake Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Snowflake is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Snowflake's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Snowflake, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Snowflake within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.85
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
4.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Snowflake Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Snowflake for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Snowflake can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Snowflake appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Snowflake has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (679.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 760.89 M.

Snowflake Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Snowflake Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Snowflake's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Snowflake's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding312.4 M
Shares Float285.8 M

Snowflake Technical Analysis

Snowflake's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Snowflake Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Snowflake. In general, you should focus on analyzing Snowflake Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Snowflake Predictive Forecast Models

Snowflake's time-series forecasting models is one of many Snowflake's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Snowflake's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Snowflake

Checking the ongoing alerts about Snowflake for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Snowflake help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Snowflake appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Snowflake has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (679.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 760.89 M.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Snowflake Stock

When determining whether Snowflake is a strong investment it is important to analyze Snowflake's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Snowflake's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Snowflake Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Snowflake Backtesting, Snowflake Valuation, Snowflake Correlation, Snowflake Hype Analysis, Snowflake Volatility, Snowflake History as well as Snowflake Performance.
For information on how to trade Snowflake Stock refer to our How to Trade Snowflake Stock guide.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Snowflake's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Snowflake is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Snowflake's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.