Satria Antaran (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1360.0
| SAPX Stock | 1,360 450.00 24.86% |
Satria |
Satria Antaran Target Price Odds to finish below 1360.0
The tendency of Satria Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,360 | 90 days | 1,360 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Satria Antaran to move below current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Satria Antaran Prima probability density function shows the probability of Satria Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.66 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Satria Antaran will likely underperform. Additionally Satria Antaran Prima has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Satria Antaran Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Satria Antaran
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Satria Antaran Prima. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Satria Antaran Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Satria Antaran is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Satria Antaran's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Satria Antaran Prima, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Satria Antaran within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 409.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Satria Antaran Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Satria Antaran for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Satria Antaran Prima can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Satria Antaran Prima generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Satria Antaran Prima has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Satria Antaran Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Satria Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Satria Antaran's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Satria Antaran's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 833.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 15 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73.9 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 18 | |
| Shares Float | 64.5 M |
Satria Antaran Technical Analysis
Satria Antaran's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Satria Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Satria Antaran Prima. In general, you should focus on analyzing Satria Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Satria Antaran Predictive Forecast Models
Satria Antaran's time-series forecasting models is one of many Satria Antaran's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Satria Antaran's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Satria Antaran Prima
Checking the ongoing alerts about Satria Antaran for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Satria Antaran Prima help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Satria Antaran Prima generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Satria Antaran Prima has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Satria Stock
Satria Antaran financial ratios help investors to determine whether Satria Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Satria with respect to the benefits of owning Satria Antaran security.