Saat Aggressive Strategy Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.25
| SASDX Fund | USD 14.68 0.04 0.27% |
Saat |
Saat Aggressive Target Price Odds to finish below 14.25
The tendency of Saat Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 14.25 or more in 90 days |
| 14.68 | 90 days | 14.25 | about 5.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saat Aggressive to drop to $ 14.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.37 (This Saat Aggressive Strategy probability density function shows the probability of Saat Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saat Aggressive Strategy price to stay between $ 14.25 and its current price of $14.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.05 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Saat Aggressive has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saat Aggressive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saat Aggressive Strategy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Saat Aggressive Strategy has an alpha of 0.0105, implying that it can generate a 0.0105 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Saat Aggressive Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Saat Aggressive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saat Aggressive Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Saat Aggressive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Saat Aggressive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saat Aggressive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saat Aggressive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saat Aggressive Strategy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saat Aggressive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Saat Aggressive Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saat Aggressive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saat Aggressive Strategy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 7.55% of its assets in cash |
Saat Aggressive Technical Analysis
Saat Aggressive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saat Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saat Aggressive Strategy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saat Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Saat Aggressive Predictive Forecast Models
Saat Aggressive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saat Aggressive's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saat Aggressive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Saat Aggressive Strategy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Saat Aggressive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saat Aggressive Strategy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 7.55% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Saat Mutual Fund
Saat Aggressive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saat Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saat with respect to the benefits of owning Saat Aggressive security.
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk |