Ströer SE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 43.50
| SAX Stock | 46.18 0.10 0.22% |
Ströer |
Ströer SE Target Price Odds to finish over 43.50
The tendency of Ströer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 43.50 in 90 days |
| 46.18 | 90 days | 43.50 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ströer SE to stay above 43.50 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Strer SE Co probability density function shows the probability of Ströer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ströer SE price to stay between 43.50 and its current price of 46.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Strer SE Co has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ströer SE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Strer SE Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Strer SE Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ströer SE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ströer SE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ströer SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ströer SE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ströer SE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ströer SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ströer SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Strer SE Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ströer SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Ströer SE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ströer SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ströer SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ströer SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Ströer SE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ströer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ströer SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ströer SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68.4 M |
Ströer SE Technical Analysis
Ströer SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ströer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Strer SE Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ströer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ströer SE Predictive Forecast Models
Ströer SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ströer SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ströer SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ströer SE
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ströer SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ströer SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ströer SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Ströer Stock Analysis
When running Ströer SE's price analysis, check to measure Ströer SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ströer SE is operating at the current time. Most of Ströer SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ströer SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ströer SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ströer SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.