Sinclair Broadcast Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.81
| SBGI Stock | USD 16.08 0.05 0.31% |
Sinclair |
Sinclair Broadcast Target Price Odds to finish below 5.81
The tendency of Sinclair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.81 or more in 90 days |
| 16.08 | 90 days | 5.81 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sinclair Broadcast to drop to $ 5.81 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sinclair Broadcast Group probability density function shows the probability of Sinclair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sinclair Broadcast price to stay between $ 5.81 and its current price of $16.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sinclair Broadcast will likely underperform. Additionally Sinclair Broadcast Group has an alpha of 0.2104, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sinclair Broadcast Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sinclair Broadcast
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sinclair Broadcast. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sinclair Broadcast Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sinclair Broadcast is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sinclair Broadcast's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sinclair Broadcast Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sinclair Broadcast within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Sinclair Broadcast Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sinclair Broadcast for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sinclair Broadcast can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (291 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.85 B. | |
| Sinclair Broadcast has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Institutional owners may ignore Sinclair, Inc.s recent US82m market cap decline as longer-term profits stay in the green |
Sinclair Broadcast Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sinclair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sinclair Broadcast's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sinclair Broadcast's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 662 M |
Sinclair Broadcast Technical Analysis
Sinclair Broadcast's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sinclair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sinclair Broadcast Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sinclair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sinclair Broadcast Predictive Forecast Models
Sinclair Broadcast's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sinclair Broadcast's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sinclair Broadcast's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sinclair Broadcast
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sinclair Broadcast for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sinclair Broadcast help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (291 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.85 B. | |
| Sinclair Broadcast has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Institutional owners may ignore Sinclair, Inc.s recent US82m market cap decline as longer-term profits stay in the green |
Check out Sinclair Broadcast Backtesting, Sinclair Broadcast Valuation, Sinclair Broadcast Correlation, Sinclair Broadcast Hype Analysis, Sinclair Broadcast Volatility, Sinclair Broadcast History as well as Sinclair Broadcast Performance. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Broadcasting space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sinclair Broadcast. If investors know Sinclair will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sinclair Broadcast listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share (3.16) | Revenue Per Share 51.806 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.196 |
The market value of Sinclair Broadcast is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sinclair that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sinclair Broadcast's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sinclair Broadcast's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sinclair Broadcast's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sinclair Broadcast's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sinclair Broadcast's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sinclair Broadcast is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sinclair Broadcast's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.