Schweizer Electronic (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.53
| SCE Stock | EUR 2.82 0.04 1.40% |
Schweizer |
Schweizer Electronic Target Price Odds to finish below 2.53
The tendency of Schweizer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 2.53 or more in 90 days |
| 2.82 | 90 days | 2.53 | about 1.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schweizer Electronic to drop to € 2.53 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.06 (This Schweizer Electronic AG probability density function shows the probability of Schweizer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Schweizer Electronic price to stay between € 2.53 and its current price of €2.82 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Schweizer Electronic AG has a beta of -1.55. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Schweizer Electronic AG are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Schweizer Electronic is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Schweizer Electronic AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Schweizer Electronic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Schweizer Electronic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schweizer Electronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Schweizer Electronic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schweizer Electronic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schweizer Electronic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schweizer Electronic AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schweizer Electronic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Schweizer Electronic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schweizer Electronic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schweizer Electronic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Schweizer Electronic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Schweizer Electronic has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 122.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.19 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.93 M). | |
| Schweizer Electronic AG has accumulated about 25.83 M in cash with (14.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.85, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Schweizer Electronic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schweizer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schweizer Electronic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schweizer Electronic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 13.2 M | |
| Shares Float | 1.3 M |
Schweizer Electronic Technical Analysis
Schweizer Electronic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schweizer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schweizer Electronic AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schweizer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Schweizer Electronic Predictive Forecast Models
Schweizer Electronic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Schweizer Electronic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schweizer Electronic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Schweizer Electronic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Schweizer Electronic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schweizer Electronic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Schweizer Electronic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Schweizer Electronic has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 122.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.19 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.93 M). | |
| Schweizer Electronic AG has accumulated about 25.83 M in cash with (14.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.85, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Schweizer Stock
Schweizer Electronic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schweizer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schweizer with respect to the benefits of owning Schweizer Electronic security.