Sahacogen Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.5

SCG Stock  THB 3.42  0.04  1.16%   
Sahacogen Public's future price is the expected price of Sahacogen Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sahacogen Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sahacogen Public Backtesting, Sahacogen Public Valuation, Sahacogen Public Correlation, Sahacogen Public Hype Analysis, Sahacogen Public Volatility, Sahacogen Public History as well as Sahacogen Public Performance.
  
Please specify Sahacogen Public's target price for which you would like Sahacogen Public odds to be computed.

Sahacogen Public Target Price Odds to finish over 3.5

The tendency of Sahacogen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3.50  or more in 90 days
 3.42 90 days 3.50 
about 82.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sahacogen Public to move over  3.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 82.16 (This Sahacogen Public probability density function shows the probability of Sahacogen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sahacogen Public price to stay between its current price of  3.42  and  3.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sahacogen Public has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sahacogen Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sahacogen Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sahacogen Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sahacogen Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sahacogen Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sahacogen Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.303.424.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.383.504.62
Details

Sahacogen Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sahacogen Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sahacogen Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sahacogen Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sahacogen Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Sahacogen Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sahacogen Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sahacogen Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sahacogen Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sahacogen Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Sahacogen Public has accumulated 1 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 131.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sahacogen Public has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sahacogen Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sahacogen Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sahacogen Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sahacogen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sahacogen Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 94.0% of Sahacogen Public outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sahacogen Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sahacogen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sahacogen Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sahacogen Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.3 B

Sahacogen Public Technical Analysis

Sahacogen Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sahacogen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sahacogen Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sahacogen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sahacogen Public Predictive Forecast Models

Sahacogen Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sahacogen Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sahacogen Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sahacogen Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sahacogen Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sahacogen Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sahacogen Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sahacogen Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Sahacogen Public has accumulated 1 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 131.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sahacogen Public has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sahacogen Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sahacogen Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sahacogen Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sahacogen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sahacogen Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 94.0% of Sahacogen Public outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sahacogen Stock

Sahacogen Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sahacogen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sahacogen with respect to the benefits of owning Sahacogen Public security.