Scope Metals (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14410.0

SCOP Stock  ILA 14,570  160.00  1.11%   
Scope Metals' future price is the expected price of Scope Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Scope Metals Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Scope Metals Backtesting, Scope Metals Valuation, Scope Metals Correlation, Scope Metals Hype Analysis, Scope Metals Volatility, Scope Metals History as well as Scope Metals Performance.
  
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Scope Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 14410.0

The tendency of Scope Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  14,410  in 90 days
 14,570 90 days 14,410 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scope Metals to stay above  14,410  in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Scope Metals Group probability density function shows the probability of Scope Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Scope Metals Group price to stay between  14,410  and its current price of 14570.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Scope Metals has a beta of 0.11. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Scope Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Scope Metals Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Scope Metals Group has an alpha of 0.4986, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Scope Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Scope Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scope Metals Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14,56814,57014,572
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,11316,90116,903
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,39014,39214,394
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10,60013,06615,533
Details

Scope Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scope Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scope Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scope Metals Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scope Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
1,473
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Scope Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scope Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scope Metals Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Scope Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scope Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scope Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scope Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.5 M

Scope Metals Technical Analysis

Scope Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scope Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scope Metals Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scope Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Scope Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Scope Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Scope Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scope Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Scope Metals Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Scope Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scope Metals Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Scope Stock

Scope Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scope Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scope with respect to the benefits of owning Scope Metals security.