Securetech Innovations Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.96
| SCTH Stock | USD 1.00 0.59 143.90% |
SecureTech |
SecureTech Innovations Target Price Odds to finish over 0.96
The tendency of SecureTech Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.96 in 90 days |
| 1.00 | 90 days | 0.96 | about 66.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SecureTech Innovations to stay above $ 0.96 in 90 days from now is about 66.11 (This SecureTech Innovations probability density function shows the probability of SecureTech Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SecureTech Innovations price to stay between $ 0.96 and its current price of $1.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.62 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SecureTech Innovations has a beta of -0.53. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SecureTech Innovations are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SecureTech Innovations is likely to outperform the market. Moreover SecureTech Innovations has an alpha of 1.2793, implying that it can generate a 1.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SecureTech Innovations Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SecureTech Innovations
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SecureTech Innovations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SecureTech Innovations' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SecureTech Innovations Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SecureTech Innovations is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SecureTech Innovations' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SecureTech Innovations, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SecureTech Innovations within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
SecureTech Innovations Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SecureTech Innovations for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SecureTech Innovations can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SecureTech Innovations is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| SecureTech Innovations has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SecureTech Innovations appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| SecureTech Innovations has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.71 K. Net Loss for the year was (108.71 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.8 K. | |
| SecureTech Innovations currently holds about 197.17 K in cash with (99.03 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SecureTech Innovations Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SecureTech Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SecureTech Innovations' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SecureTech Innovations' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 156 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 214 K | |
| Shares Float | 31.8 M |
SecureTech Innovations Technical Analysis
SecureTech Innovations' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SecureTech Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SecureTech Innovations. In general, you should focus on analyzing SecureTech Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SecureTech Innovations Predictive Forecast Models
SecureTech Innovations' time-series forecasting models is one of many SecureTech Innovations' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SecureTech Innovations' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SecureTech Innovations
Checking the ongoing alerts about SecureTech Innovations for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SecureTech Innovations help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SecureTech Innovations is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| SecureTech Innovations has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SecureTech Innovations appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| SecureTech Innovations has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.71 K. Net Loss for the year was (108.71 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.8 K. | |
| SecureTech Innovations currently holds about 197.17 K in cash with (99.03 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in SecureTech Pink Sheet
SecureTech Innovations financial ratios help investors to determine whether SecureTech Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SecureTech with respect to the benefits of owning SecureTech Innovations security.