Suncar Technology Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.68

SDA Stock   8.42  0.03  0.36%   
SunCar Technology's future price is the expected price of SunCar Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SunCar Technology Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SunCar Technology Backtesting, SunCar Technology Valuation, SunCar Technology Correlation, SunCar Technology Hype Analysis, SunCar Technology Volatility, SunCar Technology History as well as SunCar Technology Performance.
  
At present, SunCar Technology's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 46.03, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to (27.50). Please specify SunCar Technology's target price for which you would like SunCar Technology odds to be computed.

SunCar Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 12.68

The tendency of SunCar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  12.68  or more in 90 days
 8.42 90 days 12.68 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SunCar Technology to move over  12.68  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SunCar Technology Group probability density function shows the probability of SunCar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SunCar Technology price to stay between its current price of  8.42  and  12.68  at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon SunCar Technology has a beta of 0.17. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SunCar Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SunCar Technology Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SunCar Technology Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SunCar Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SunCar Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SunCar Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SunCar Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.208.4612.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.447.7011.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.130.13
Details

SunCar Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SunCar Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SunCar Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SunCar Technology Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SunCar Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

SunCar Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SunCar Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SunCar Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SunCar Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SunCar Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 363.75 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (26.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 50.12 M.
SunCar Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
SunCar Technology has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: SunCar Technology Announces CSO Resignation - TipRanks

SunCar Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SunCar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SunCar Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SunCar Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52.5 M

SunCar Technology Technical Analysis

SunCar Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SunCar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SunCar Technology Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing SunCar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SunCar Technology Predictive Forecast Models

SunCar Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many SunCar Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SunCar Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SunCar Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about SunCar Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SunCar Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SunCar Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SunCar Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 363.75 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (26.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 50.12 M.
SunCar Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
SunCar Technology has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: SunCar Technology Announces CSO Resignation - TipRanks
When determining whether SunCar Technology is a strong investment it is important to analyze SunCar Technology's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact SunCar Technology's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SunCar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SunCar Technology. If investors know SunCar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SunCar Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.94)
Revenue Per Share
4.449
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.274
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(1.28)
The market value of SunCar Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SunCar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SunCar Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SunCar Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SunCar Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SunCar Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SunCar Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SunCar Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SunCar Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.