Sit Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.09
| SDFSX Fund | USD 18.12 0.17 0.93% |
Sit |
Sit Small Target Price Odds to finish over 18.09
The tendency of Sit Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 18.09 in 90 days |
| 18.12 | 90 days | 18.09 | about 33.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sit Small to stay above $ 18.09 in 90 days from now is about 33.95 (This Sit Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Sit Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sit Small Cap price to stay between $ 18.09 and its current price of $18.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sit Small has a beta of 0.19. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sit Small average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sit Small Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sit Small Cap has an alpha of 0.1186, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sit Small Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sit Small
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sit Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sit Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sit Small Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sit Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sit Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sit Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sit Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Sit Small Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sit Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sit Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Sit Small Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sit Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sit Small's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sit Small's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Sit Small Technical Analysis
Sit Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sit Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sit Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sit Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sit Small Predictive Forecast Models
Sit Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sit Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sit Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sit Small Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sit Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sit Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in Sit Mutual Fund
Sit Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sit Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sit with respect to the benefits of owning Sit Small security.
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