Sidomulyo Selaras (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.48
| SDMU Stock | IDR 26.00 1.00 4.00% |
Sidomulyo |
Sidomulyo Selaras Target Price Odds to finish over 27.48
The tendency of Sidomulyo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 27.48 or more in 90 days |
| 26.00 | 90 days | 27.48 | about 7.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sidomulyo Selaras to move over 27.48 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.66 (This Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Sidomulyo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk price to stay between its current price of 26.00 and 27.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sidomulyo Selaras has a beta of 0.33. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sidomulyo Selaras average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk has an alpha of 0.0728, implying that it can generate a 0.0728 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sidomulyo Selaras Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sidomulyo Selaras
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sidomulyo Selaras Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sidomulyo Selaras is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sidomulyo Selaras' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sidomulyo Selaras within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0012 |
Sidomulyo Selaras Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sidomulyo Selaras for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sidomulyo Selaras generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sidomulyo Selaras has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sidomulyo Selaras has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 82.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.43 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.53 B. | |
| Sidomulyo Selaras generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sidomulyo Selaras Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sidomulyo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sidomulyo Selaras' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sidomulyo Selaras' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Sidomulyo Selaras Technical Analysis
Sidomulyo Selaras' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sidomulyo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sidomulyo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sidomulyo Selaras Predictive Forecast Models
Sidomulyo Selaras' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sidomulyo Selaras' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sidomulyo Selaras' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sidomulyo Selaras for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sidomulyo Selaras generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sidomulyo Selaras has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sidomulyo Selaras has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 82.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.43 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.53 B. | |
| Sidomulyo Selaras generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sidomulyo Stock
Sidomulyo Selaras financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sidomulyo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sidomulyo with respect to the benefits of owning Sidomulyo Selaras security.