Secuoya Grupo (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.11

SEC Stock  EUR 17.00  0.70  4.29%   
Secuoya Grupo's future price is the expected price of Secuoya Grupo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Secuoya Grupo de performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Secuoya Grupo Backtesting, Secuoya Grupo Valuation, Secuoya Grupo Correlation, Secuoya Grupo Hype Analysis, Secuoya Grupo Volatility, Secuoya Grupo History as well as Secuoya Grupo Performance.
  
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Secuoya Grupo Target Price Odds to finish below 14.11

The tendency of Secuoya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 14.11  or more in 90 days
 17.00 90 days 14.11 
about 60.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Secuoya Grupo to drop to € 14.11  or more in 90 days from now is about 60.06 (This Secuoya Grupo de probability density function shows the probability of Secuoya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Secuoya Grupo de price to stay between € 14.11  and its current price of €17.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Secuoya Grupo de has a beta of -0.45. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Secuoya Grupo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Secuoya Grupo de is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Secuoya Grupo de has an alpha of 2.8084, implying that it can generate a 2.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Secuoya Grupo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Secuoya Grupo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Secuoya Grupo de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.8517.0038.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.7114.1135.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.3014.9936.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.2016.4516.69
Details

Secuoya Grupo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Secuoya Grupo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Secuoya Grupo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Secuoya Grupo de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Secuoya Grupo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.45
σ
Overall volatility
4.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Secuoya Grupo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Secuoya Grupo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Secuoya Grupo de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Secuoya Grupo de is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Secuoya Grupo de appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Secuoya Grupo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Secuoya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Secuoya Grupo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Secuoya Grupo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM

Secuoya Grupo Technical Analysis

Secuoya Grupo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Secuoya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Secuoya Grupo de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Secuoya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Secuoya Grupo Predictive Forecast Models

Secuoya Grupo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Secuoya Grupo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Secuoya Grupo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Secuoya Grupo de

Checking the ongoing alerts about Secuoya Grupo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Secuoya Grupo de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Secuoya Grupo de is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Secuoya Grupo de appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Secuoya Stock

Secuoya Grupo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Secuoya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Secuoya with respect to the benefits of owning Secuoya Grupo security.