HEDGE SEED (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 97.31
| SEED11 Fund | 100.00 0.00 0.00% |
HEDGE |
HEDGE SEED Target Price Odds to finish over 97.31
The tendency of HEDGE Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 97.31 in 90 days |
| 100.00 | 90 days | 97.31 | about 86.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HEDGE SEED to stay above 97.31 in 90 days from now is about 86.41 (This HEDGE SEED FUNDO probability density function shows the probability of HEDGE Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HEDGE SEED FUNDO price to stay between 97.31 and its current price of 100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HEDGE SEED FUNDO has a beta of -0.0241. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HEDGE SEED are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HEDGE SEED FUNDO is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HEDGE SEED FUNDO has an alpha of 0.0343, implying that it can generate a 0.0343 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HEDGE SEED Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HEDGE SEED
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HEDGE SEED FUNDO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HEDGE SEED Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HEDGE SEED is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HEDGE SEED's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HEDGE SEED FUNDO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HEDGE SEED within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.41 |
HEDGE SEED Technical Analysis
HEDGE SEED's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HEDGE Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HEDGE SEED FUNDO. In general, you should focus on analyzing HEDGE Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HEDGE SEED Predictive Forecast Models
HEDGE SEED's time-series forecasting models is one of many HEDGE SEED's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HEDGE SEED's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards HEDGE SEED in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, HEDGE SEED's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from HEDGE SEED options trading.
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