Spectra7 Microsystems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.15
| SEV Stock | 0.14 0.02 16.67% |
Spectra7 |
Spectra7 Microsystems Target Price Odds to finish below 0.15
The tendency of Spectra7 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.15 after 90 days |
| 0.14 | 90 days | 0.15 | about 83.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Spectra7 Microsystems to stay under 0.15 after 90 days from now is about 83.7 (This Spectra7 Microsystems probability density function shows the probability of Spectra7 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Spectra7 Microsystems price to stay between its current price of 0.14 and 0.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Spectra7 Microsystems has a beta of 0.53. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Spectra7 Microsystems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Spectra7 Microsystems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Spectra7 Microsystems has an alpha of 0.6175, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Spectra7 Microsystems Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Spectra7 Microsystems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spectra7 Microsystems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Spectra7 Microsystems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Spectra7 Microsystems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Spectra7 Microsystems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Spectra7 Microsystems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Spectra7 Microsystems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Spectra7 Microsystems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Spectra7 Microsystems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Spectra7 Microsystems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Spectra7 Microsystems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Spectra7 Microsystems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Spectra7 Microsystems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Spectra7 Microsystems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 528.1 K. | |
| Spectra7 Microsystems has accumulated about 7.71 M in cash with (4.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Buzz on the Bullboards Feeling holiday blues, or celebrating blue chip stocks 2024-12-12 Investing News - Stockhouse Publishing |
Spectra7 Microsystems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Spectra7 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Spectra7 Microsystems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spectra7 Microsystems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 658.6 K |
Spectra7 Microsystems Technical Analysis
Spectra7 Microsystems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Spectra7 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Spectra7 Microsystems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Spectra7 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Spectra7 Microsystems Predictive Forecast Models
Spectra7 Microsystems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Spectra7 Microsystems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Spectra7 Microsystems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Spectra7 Microsystems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Spectra7 Microsystems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Spectra7 Microsystems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Spectra7 Microsystems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Spectra7 Microsystems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Spectra7 Microsystems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Spectra7 Microsystems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 528.1 K. | |
| Spectra7 Microsystems has accumulated about 7.71 M in cash with (4.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Buzz on the Bullboards Feeling holiday blues, or celebrating blue chip stocks 2024-12-12 Investing News - Stockhouse Publishing |
Additional Tools for Spectra7 Stock Analysis
When running Spectra7 Microsystems' price analysis, check to measure Spectra7 Microsystems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spectra7 Microsystems is operating at the current time. Most of Spectra7 Microsystems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spectra7 Microsystems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spectra7 Microsystems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spectra7 Microsystems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.