Sound Financial Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.46
| SFBC Stock | USD 54.39 0.04 0.07% |
Sound |
Sound Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 42.46
The tendency of Sound Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 42.46 or more in 90 days |
| 54.39 | 90 days | 42.46 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sound Financial to drop to $ 42.46 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sound Financial Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Sound Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sound Financial Bancorp price to stay between $ 42.46 and its current price of $54.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sound Financial has a beta of 0.22. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sound Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sound Financial Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sound Financial Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0244, implying that it can generate a 0.0244 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sound Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sound Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sound Financial Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sound Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sound Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sound Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sound Financial Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sound Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Sound Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sound Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sound Financial Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 26th of November 2024 Sound Financial paid $ 0.19 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Laura Stewart of 2937 shares of Sound Financial at 16.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Sound Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sound Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sound Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sound Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.7 M |
Sound Financial Technical Analysis
Sound Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sound Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sound Financial Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sound Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sound Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Sound Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sound Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sound Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sound Financial Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sound Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sound Financial Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 26th of November 2024 Sound Financial paid $ 0.19 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Laura Stewart of 2937 shares of Sound Financial at 16.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Sound Financial Backtesting, Sound Financial Valuation, Sound Financial Correlation, Sound Financial Hype Analysis, Sound Financial Volatility, Sound Financial History as well as Sound Financial Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sound Financial. If investors know Sound will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sound Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 0.76 | Earnings Share 1.52 | Revenue Per Share 13.726 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0037 |
The market value of Sound Financial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sound that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sound Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sound Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sound Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sound Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sound Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sound Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sound Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.