Sprouts Farmers Market Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 77.15
| SFM Stock | USD 128.50 2.03 1.56% |
Sprouts |
Sprouts Farmers Target Price Odds to finish below 77.15
The tendency of Sprouts Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 77.15 or more in 90 days |
| 128.50 | 90 days | 77.15 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sprouts Farmers to drop to $ 77.15 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sprouts Farmers Market probability density function shows the probability of Sprouts Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sprouts Farmers Market price to stay between $ 77.15 and its current price of $128.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.72 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Sprouts Farmers has a beta of 0.8. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sprouts Farmers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sprouts Farmers Market will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sprouts Farmers Market has an alpha of 0.2241, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sprouts Farmers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sprouts Farmers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprouts Farmers Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sprouts Farmers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sprouts Farmers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sprouts Farmers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sprouts Farmers Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sprouts Farmers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Sprouts Farmers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sprouts Farmers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sprouts Farmers Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.s Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals |
Sprouts Farmers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sprouts Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sprouts Farmers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprouts Farmers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 103.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 201.8 M |
Sprouts Farmers Technical Analysis
Sprouts Farmers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sprouts Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sprouts Farmers Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sprouts Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sprouts Farmers Predictive Forecast Models
Sprouts Farmers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sprouts Farmers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sprouts Farmers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sprouts Farmers Market
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sprouts Farmers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sprouts Farmers Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.s Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals |
Check out Sprouts Farmers Backtesting, Sprouts Farmers Valuation, Sprouts Farmers Correlation, Sprouts Farmers Hype Analysis, Sprouts Farmers Volatility, Sprouts Farmers History as well as Sprouts Farmers Performance. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprouts Farmers. If investors know Sprouts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sprouts Farmers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.422 | Earnings Share 3.46 | Revenue Per Share 73.652 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.136 | Return On Assets 0.0855 |
The market value of Sprouts Farmers Market is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprouts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprouts Farmers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprouts Farmers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprouts Farmers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprouts Farmers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprouts Farmers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprouts Farmers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprouts Farmers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.