Signify Health Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.40
| SGFYDelisted Stock | USD 30.49 0.00 0.00% |
Signify |
Signify Health Target Price Odds to finish below 28.40
The tendency of Signify Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 28.40 or more in 90 days |
| 30.49 | 90 days | 28.40 | about 18.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Signify Health to drop to $ 28.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.65 (This Signify Health probability density function shows the probability of Signify Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Signify Health price to stay between $ 28.40 and its current price of $30.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.9 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Signify Health has a beta of 0.0694. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Signify Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Signify Health will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Signify Health has an alpha of 0.0912, implying that it can generate a 0.0912 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Signify Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Signify Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Signify Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Signify Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Signify Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Signify Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Signify Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Signify Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Signify Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Signify Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Signify Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Signify Health is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Signify Health has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 805.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (130.4 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 365.1 M. | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Signify Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Signify Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Signify Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Signify Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 176.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 466.1 M |
Signify Health Technical Analysis
Signify Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Signify Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Signify Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Signify Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Signify Health Predictive Forecast Models
Signify Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Signify Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Signify Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Signify Health
Checking the ongoing alerts about Signify Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Signify Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Signify Health is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Signify Health has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 805.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (130.4 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 365.1 M. | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Other Consideration for investing in Signify Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Signify Health check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Signify Health's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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