Silicon Gaming Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0594

SGIC Stock  USD 0.07  0.01  16.67%   
Silicon Gaming's future price is the expected price of Silicon Gaming instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Silicon Gaming performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Silicon Gaming Backtesting, Silicon Gaming Valuation, Silicon Gaming Correlation, Silicon Gaming Hype Analysis, Silicon Gaming Volatility, Silicon Gaming History as well as Silicon Gaming Performance.
  
Please specify Silicon Gaming's target price for which you would like Silicon Gaming odds to be computed.

Silicon Gaming Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0594

The tendency of Silicon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.06  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.06 
about 86.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silicon Gaming to drop to $ 0.06  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.05 (This Silicon Gaming probability density function shows the probability of Silicon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silicon Gaming price to stay between $ 0.06  and its current price of $0.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.04 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.01 . This usually implies Silicon Gaming market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Silicon Gaming is expected to follow. Additionally Silicon Gaming has an alpha of 0.909, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Silicon Gaming Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Silicon Gaming

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silicon Gaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.066.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.056.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.066.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.060.06
Details

Silicon Gaming Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silicon Gaming is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silicon Gaming's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silicon Gaming, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silicon Gaming within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.91
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Silicon Gaming Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silicon Gaming for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silicon Gaming can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Silicon Gaming is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Silicon Gaming has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Silicon Gaming appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Silicon Gaming has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 413 K.
Silicon Gaming currently holds about 948 K in cash with (3.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Silicon Gaming Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silicon Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silicon Gaming's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silicon Gaming's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares10.73M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month74

Silicon Gaming Technical Analysis

Silicon Gaming's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silicon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silicon Gaming. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silicon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Silicon Gaming Predictive Forecast Models

Silicon Gaming's time-series forecasting models is one of many Silicon Gaming's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silicon Gaming's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Silicon Gaming

Checking the ongoing alerts about Silicon Gaming for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silicon Gaming help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Silicon Gaming is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Silicon Gaming has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Silicon Gaming appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Silicon Gaming has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 413 K.
Silicon Gaming currently holds about 948 K in cash with (3.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Silicon Pink Sheet

Silicon Gaming financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silicon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silicon with respect to the benefits of owning Silicon Gaming security.