Slate Grocery Reit Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.56

SGR-U Stock  USD 9.75  0.50  4.88%   
Slate Grocery's future price is the expected price of Slate Grocery instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Slate Grocery REIT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Slate Grocery Backtesting, Slate Grocery Valuation, Slate Grocery Correlation, Slate Grocery Hype Analysis, Slate Grocery Volatility, Slate Grocery History as well as Slate Grocery Performance.
  
Please specify Slate Grocery's target price for which you would like Slate Grocery odds to be computed.

Slate Grocery Target Price Odds to finish over 13.56

The tendency of Slate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 13.56  or more in 90 days
 9.75 90 days 13.56 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Slate Grocery to move over $ 13.56  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Slate Grocery REIT probability density function shows the probability of Slate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Slate Grocery REIT price to stay between its current price of $ 9.75  and $ 13.56  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Slate Grocery has a beta of 0.023. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Slate Grocery average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Slate Grocery REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Slate Grocery REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Slate Grocery Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Slate Grocery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Slate Grocery REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Slate Grocery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.409.7511.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.189.5310.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.190.19
Details

Slate Grocery Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Slate Grocery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Slate Grocery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Slate Grocery REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Slate Grocery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Slate Grocery Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Slate Grocery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Slate Grocery REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Slate Grocery REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Slate Grocery REIT has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Slate Grocery REIT has accumulated 302.12 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Slate Grocery REIT has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Slate Grocery until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Slate Grocery's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Slate Grocery REIT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Slate to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Slate Grocery's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Slate Grocery REIT Shares Down 0.3 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat

Slate Grocery Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Slate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Slate Grocery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Slate Grocery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.3 M
Dividends Paid52.7 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.86
Shares Float58.9 M

Slate Grocery Technical Analysis

Slate Grocery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Slate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Slate Grocery REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Slate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Slate Grocery Predictive Forecast Models

Slate Grocery's time-series forecasting models is one of many Slate Grocery's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Slate Grocery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Slate Grocery REIT

Checking the ongoing alerts about Slate Grocery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Slate Grocery REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Slate Grocery REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Slate Grocery REIT has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Slate Grocery REIT has accumulated 302.12 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Slate Grocery REIT has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Slate Grocery until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Slate Grocery's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Slate Grocery REIT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Slate to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Slate Grocery's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Slate Grocery REIT Shares Down 0.3 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Slate Stock Analysis

When running Slate Grocery's price analysis, check to measure Slate Grocery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Slate Grocery is operating at the current time. Most of Slate Grocery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Slate Grocery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Slate Grocery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Slate Grocery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.