S Hotels (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.88

SHR Stock  THB 2.52  0.10  4.13%   
S Hotels' future price is the expected price of S Hotels instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of S Hotels and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out S Hotels Backtesting, S Hotels Valuation, S Hotels Correlation, S Hotels Hype Analysis, S Hotels Volatility, S Hotels History as well as S Hotels Performance.
  
Please specify S Hotels' target price for which you would like S Hotels odds to be computed.

S Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 9.88

The tendency of SHR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  9.88  or more in 90 days
 2.52 90 days 9.88 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of S Hotels to move over  9.88  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This S Hotels and probability density function shows the probability of SHR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of S Hotels price to stay between its current price of  2.52  and  9.88  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon S Hotels has a beta of 0.94. This usually implies S Hotels and market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, S Hotels is expected to follow. Additionally S Hotels and has an alpha of 0.1534, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   S Hotels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for S Hotels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as S Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.222.524.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.404.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.222.524.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.012.252.49
Details

S Hotels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. S Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the S Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold S Hotels and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of S Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

S Hotels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of S Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for S Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
S Hotels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
S Hotels and has accumulated 9.14 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.18, which is about average as compared to similar companies. S Hotels has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist S Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, S Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like S Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SHR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about S Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 4.51 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.23 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 916.5 M.
S Hotels and has accumulated about 1.79 B in cash with (41.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.5.
Roughly 67.0% of S Hotels outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

S Hotels Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SHR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential S Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. S Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.6 B

S Hotels Technical Analysis

S Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SHR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of S Hotels and. In general, you should focus on analyzing SHR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

S Hotels Predictive Forecast Models

S Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many S Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary S Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about S Hotels

Checking the ongoing alerts about S Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for S Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
S Hotels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
S Hotels and has accumulated 9.14 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.18, which is about average as compared to similar companies. S Hotels has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist S Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, S Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like S Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SHR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about S Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 4.51 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.23 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 916.5 M.
S Hotels and has accumulated about 1.79 B in cash with (41.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.5.
Roughly 67.0% of S Hotels outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in SHR Stock

S Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether SHR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SHR with respect to the benefits of owning S Hotels security.