Security Investment (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.23

SIBL Stock   5.05  0.01  0.20%   
Security Investment's future price is the expected price of Security Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Security Investment Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Security Investment Backtesting, Security Investment Valuation, Security Investment Correlation, Security Investment Hype Analysis, Security Investment Volatility, Security Investment History as well as Security Investment Performance.
  
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Security Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 4.23

The tendency of Security Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  4.23  in 90 days
 5.05 90 days 4.23 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Security Investment to stay above  4.23  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Security Investment Bank probability density function shows the probability of Security Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Security Investment Bank price to stay between  4.23  and its current price of 5.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Security Investment has a beta of 0.73. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Security Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Security Investment Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Security Investment Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Security Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Security Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Security Investment Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.195.058.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.374.238.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.904.768.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.965.075.18
Details

Security Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Security Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Security Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Security Investment Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Security Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Security Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Security Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Security Investment Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Security Investment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Security Investment Technical Analysis

Security Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Security Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Security Investment Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Security Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Security Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Security Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Security Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Security Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Security Investment Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Security Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Security Investment Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Security Investment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Security Stock

Security Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Security Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Security with respect to the benefits of owning Security Investment security.