Sherborne Investors (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.17

SIGC Stock   52.00  0.25  0.48%   
Sherborne Investors' future price is the expected price of Sherborne Investors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sherborne Investors Guernsey performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sherborne Investors Backtesting, Sherborne Investors Valuation, Sherborne Investors Correlation, Sherborne Investors Hype Analysis, Sherborne Investors Volatility, Sherborne Investors History as well as Sherborne Investors Performance.
  
Please specify Sherborne Investors' target price for which you would like Sherborne Investors odds to be computed.

Sherborne Investors Target Price Odds to finish below 51.17

The tendency of Sherborne Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  51.17  or more in 90 days
 52.00 90 days 51.17 
about 53.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sherborne Investors to drop to  51.17  or more in 90 days from now is about 53.85 (This Sherborne Investors Guernsey probability density function shows the probability of Sherborne Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sherborne Investors price to stay between  51.17  and its current price of 52.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sherborne Investors has a beta of 0.35. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sherborne Investors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sherborne Investors Guernsey will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sherborne Investors Guernsey has an alpha of 0.0121, implying that it can generate a 0.0121 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sherborne Investors Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sherborne Investors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sherborne Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.2252.0452.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.7551.5752.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.6550.4851.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
51.5352.5553.57
Details

Sherborne Investors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sherborne Investors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sherborne Investors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sherborne Investors Guernsey, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sherborne Investors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Sherborne Investors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sherborne Investors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sherborne Investors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sherborne Investors is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Sherborne Investors generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Sherborne Investors Sees Major Change in Avivas Stake - TipRanks

Sherborne Investors Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sherborne Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sherborne Investors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sherborne Investors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding700 M
Cash And Short Term Investments816.6 K

Sherborne Investors Technical Analysis

Sherborne Investors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sherborne Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sherborne Investors Guernsey. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sherborne Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sherborne Investors Predictive Forecast Models

Sherborne Investors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sherborne Investors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sherborne Investors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sherborne Investors

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sherborne Investors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sherborne Investors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sherborne Investors is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Sherborne Investors generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Sherborne Investors Sees Major Change in Avivas Stake - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Sherborne Stock Analysis

When running Sherborne Investors' price analysis, check to measure Sherborne Investors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sherborne Investors is operating at the current time. Most of Sherborne Investors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sherborne Investors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sherborne Investors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sherborne Investors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.