SIKA AG (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.85
| SIKB Stock | EUR 22.80 1.40 5.79% |
SIKA |
SIKA AG Target Price Odds to finish below 20.85
The tendency of SIKA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 20.85 or more in 90 days |
| 22.80 | 90 days | 20.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SIKA AG to drop to € 20.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SIKA AG UNSPADR probability density function shows the probability of SIKA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SIKA AG UNSPADR price to stay between € 20.85 and its current price of €22.8 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SIKA AG has a beta of 0.0583. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SIKA AG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SIKA AG UNSPADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SIKA AG UNSPADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SIKA AG Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SIKA AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SIKA AG UNSPADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SIKA AG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SIKA AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SIKA AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SIKA AG UNSPADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SIKA AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
SIKA AG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SIKA AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SIKA AG UNSPADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SIKA AG UNSPADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
SIKA AG Technical Analysis
SIKA AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SIKA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SIKA AG UNSPADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing SIKA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SIKA AG Predictive Forecast Models
SIKA AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many SIKA AG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SIKA AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SIKA AG UNSPADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about SIKA AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SIKA AG UNSPADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SIKA AG UNSPADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in SIKA Stock
SIKA AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether SIKA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SIKA with respect to the benefits of owning SIKA AG security.