Sitowise Group (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.92
| SITOWS Stock | EUR 2.75 0.05 1.79% |
Sitowise |
Sitowise Group Target Price Odds to finish over 2.92
The tendency of Sitowise Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 2.92 or more in 90 days |
| 2.75 | 90 days | 2.92 | about 5.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sitowise Group to move over € 2.92 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.99 (This Sitowise Group Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Sitowise Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sitowise Group Oyj price to stay between its current price of € 2.75 and € 2.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sitowise Group Oyj has a beta of -0.84. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sitowise Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sitowise Group Oyj is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sitowise Group Oyj has an alpha of 0.2849, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sitowise Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sitowise Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sitowise Group Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sitowise Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sitowise Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sitowise Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sitowise Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sitowise Group Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sitowise Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Sitowise Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sitowise Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sitowise Group Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sitowise Group Oyj had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Sitowise Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sitowise Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sitowise Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sitowise Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.4 M |
Sitowise Group Technical Analysis
Sitowise Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sitowise Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sitowise Group Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sitowise Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sitowise Group Predictive Forecast Models
Sitowise Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sitowise Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sitowise Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sitowise Group Oyj
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sitowise Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sitowise Group Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sitowise Group Oyj had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Sitowise Stock
Sitowise Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sitowise Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sitowise with respect to the benefits of owning Sitowise Group security.