Scienjoy Holding Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.96
| SJ Stock | USD 0.92 0.02 2.13% |
Scienjoy |
Scienjoy Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 0.96
The tendency of Scienjoy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.96 or more in 90 days |
| 0.92 | 90 days | 0.96 | about 31.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scienjoy Holding to move over $ 0.96 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.23 (This Scienjoy Holding Corp probability density function shows the probability of Scienjoy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Scienjoy Holding Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.92 and $ 0.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.25 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Scienjoy Holding has a beta of 0.38. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Scienjoy Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Scienjoy Holding Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Scienjoy Holding Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Scienjoy Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Scienjoy Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scienjoy Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Scienjoy Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scienjoy Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scienjoy Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scienjoy Holding Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scienjoy Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.002 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Scienjoy Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scienjoy Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scienjoy Holding Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Scienjoy Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Scienjoy Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Scienjoy Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.46 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (34.98 M) with gross profit of 304.46 M. | |
| Scienjoy Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Scienjoy Holding Third Quarter 2024 Earnings EPS CN0.019 |
Scienjoy Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scienjoy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scienjoy Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scienjoy Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 237 M |
Scienjoy Holding Technical Analysis
Scienjoy Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scienjoy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scienjoy Holding Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scienjoy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Scienjoy Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Scienjoy Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Scienjoy Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scienjoy Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Scienjoy Holding Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Scienjoy Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scienjoy Holding Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Scienjoy Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Scienjoy Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Scienjoy Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.46 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (34.98 M) with gross profit of 304.46 M. | |
| Scienjoy Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Scienjoy Holding Third Quarter 2024 Earnings EPS CN0.019 |
Check out Scienjoy Holding Backtesting, Scienjoy Holding Valuation, Scienjoy Holding Correlation, Scienjoy Holding Hype Analysis, Scienjoy Holding Volatility, Scienjoy Holding History as well as Scienjoy Holding Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Scienjoy Holding. If investors know Scienjoy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Scienjoy Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Earnings Share (0.24) | Revenue Per Share 36.299 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets 0.0194 |
The market value of Scienjoy Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Scienjoy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Scienjoy Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Scienjoy Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Scienjoy Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Scienjoy Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Scienjoy Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scienjoy Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scienjoy Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.