SEB SA (France) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 91.74

SK Stock  EUR 89.80  0.05  0.06%   
SEB SA's future price is the expected price of SEB SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SEB SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SEB SA Backtesting, SEB SA Valuation, SEB SA Correlation, SEB SA Hype Analysis, SEB SA Volatility, SEB SA History as well as SEB SA Performance.
  
Please specify SEB SA's target price for which you would like SEB SA odds to be computed.

SEB SA Target Price Odds to finish over 91.74

The tendency of SEB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 91.74  or more in 90 days
 89.80 90 days 91.74 
about 80.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SEB SA to move over € 91.74  or more in 90 days from now is about 80.9 (This SEB SA probability density function shows the probability of SEB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SEB SA price to stay between its current price of € 89.80  and € 91.74  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.15 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SEB SA has a beta of 0.17. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SEB SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SEB SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SEB SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SEB SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SEB SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEB SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.9689.8091.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.2787.1198.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.1187.9589.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.6689.7291.79
Details

SEB SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SEB SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SEB SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SEB SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SEB SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
4.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

SEB SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SEB SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SEB SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SEB SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SEB SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

SEB SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SEB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SEB SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SEB SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 B

SEB SA Technical Analysis

SEB SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SEB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SEB SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing SEB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SEB SA Predictive Forecast Models

SEB SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many SEB SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SEB SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SEB SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about SEB SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SEB SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SEB SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SEB SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in SEB Stock

SEB SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether SEB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SEB with respect to the benefits of owning SEB SA security.