Small Cap Profund Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 122.52

SLPIX Fund  USD 124.32  0.51  0.41%   
Small-cap Profund's future price is the expected price of Small-cap Profund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Small Cap Profund Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Small-cap Profund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Small-cap Profund Correlation, Small-cap Profund Hype Analysis, Small-cap Profund Volatility, Small-cap Profund History as well as Small-cap Profund Performance.
  
Please specify Small-cap Profund's target price for which you would like Small-cap Profund odds to be computed.

Small-cap Profund Target Price Odds to finish below 122.52

The tendency of Small-cap Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 122.52  or more in 90 days
 124.32 90 days 122.52 
about 92.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Small-cap Profund to drop to $ 122.52  or more in 90 days from now is about 92.41 (This Small Cap Profund Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Small-cap Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Small Cap Profund price to stay between $ 122.52  and its current price of $124.32 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.5 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Small-cap Profund will likely underperform. Additionally Small Cap Profund Small Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Small-cap Profund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Small-cap Profund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Small Cap Profund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.52123.81125.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.85115.14136.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
123.82125.11126.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
119.98122.53125.08
Details

Small-cap Profund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Small-cap Profund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Small-cap Profund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Small Cap Profund Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Small-cap Profund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.50
σ
Overall volatility
4.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Small-cap Profund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Small-cap Profund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Small Cap Profund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 55.21% of its assets in cash

Small-cap Profund Technical Analysis

Small-cap Profund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Small-cap Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Small Cap Profund Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Small-cap Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Small-cap Profund Predictive Forecast Models

Small-cap Profund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Small-cap Profund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Small-cap Profund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Small Cap Profund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Small-cap Profund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Small Cap Profund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 55.21% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Small-cap Mutual Fund

Small-cap Profund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Small-cap Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Small-cap with respect to the benefits of owning Small-cap Profund security.
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