Smartfinancial, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.72

SMBK Stock  USD 31.05  0.53  1.68%   
SmartFinancial,'s future price is the expected price of SmartFinancial, instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SmartFinancial, performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SmartFinancial, Backtesting, SmartFinancial, Valuation, SmartFinancial, Correlation, SmartFinancial, Hype Analysis, SmartFinancial, Volatility, SmartFinancial, History as well as SmartFinancial, Performance.
For more information on how to buy SmartFinancial, Stock please use our How to buy in SmartFinancial, Stock guide.
  
At this time, SmartFinancial,'s Price Cash Flow Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Fair Value is expected to rise to 1.72 this year, although the value of Price Sales Ratio will most likely fall to 2.57. Please specify SmartFinancial,'s target price for which you would like SmartFinancial, odds to be computed.

SmartFinancial, Target Price Odds to finish below 21.72

The tendency of SmartFinancial, Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 21.72  or more in 90 days
 31.05 90 days 21.72 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SmartFinancial, to drop to $ 21.72  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SmartFinancial, probability density function shows the probability of SmartFinancial, Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SmartFinancial, price to stay between $ 21.72  and its current price of $31.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.72 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SmartFinancial, has a beta of 0.2. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SmartFinancial, average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SmartFinancial, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SmartFinancial, has an alpha of 0.1125, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SmartFinancial, Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SmartFinancial,

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SmartFinancial,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.9831.1033.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.6328.7534.16
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.4025.7128.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.480.500.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SmartFinancial,. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SmartFinancial,'s peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SmartFinancial,'s competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SmartFinancial,.

SmartFinancial, Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SmartFinancial, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SmartFinancial,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SmartFinancial,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SmartFinancial, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
2.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

SmartFinancial, Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SmartFinancial, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SmartFinancial, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of November 2024 SmartFinancial, paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Investing in SmartFinancial five years ago would have delivered you a 42 percent gain

SmartFinancial, Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SmartFinancial, Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SmartFinancial,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SmartFinancial,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments470 M

SmartFinancial, Technical Analysis

SmartFinancial,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SmartFinancial, Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SmartFinancial,. In general, you should focus on analyzing SmartFinancial, Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SmartFinancial, Predictive Forecast Models

SmartFinancial,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many SmartFinancial,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SmartFinancial,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SmartFinancial,

Checking the ongoing alerts about SmartFinancial, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SmartFinancial, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of November 2024 SmartFinancial, paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Investing in SmartFinancial five years ago would have delivered you a 42 percent gain
When determining whether SmartFinancial, is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if SmartFinancial, Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Smartfinancial, Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Smartfinancial, Stock:
Check out SmartFinancial, Backtesting, SmartFinancial, Valuation, SmartFinancial, Correlation, SmartFinancial, Hype Analysis, SmartFinancial, Volatility, SmartFinancial, History as well as SmartFinancial, Performance.
For more information on how to buy SmartFinancial, Stock please use our How to buy in SmartFinancial, Stock guide.
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Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SmartFinancial,. If investors know SmartFinancial, will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SmartFinancial, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.5
Dividend Share
0.32
Earnings Share
1.93
Revenue Per Share
9.481
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.346
The market value of SmartFinancial, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SmartFinancial, that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SmartFinancial,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SmartFinancial,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SmartFinancial,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SmartFinancial,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SmartFinancial,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SmartFinancial, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SmartFinancial,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.