Steward Equity Market Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 27.81

SMNAX Fund  USD 28.06  0.03  0.11%   
Steward Equity's future price is the expected price of Steward Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Steward Equity Market performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Steward Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Steward Equity Correlation, Steward Equity Hype Analysis, Steward Equity Volatility, Steward Equity History as well as Steward Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Steward Equity's target price for which you would like Steward Equity odds to be computed.

Steward Equity Target Price Odds to finish over 27.81

The tendency of Steward Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 27.81  in 90 days
 28.06 90 days 27.81 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Steward Equity to stay above $ 27.81  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Steward Equity Market probability density function shows the probability of Steward Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Steward Equity Market price to stay between $ 27.81  and its current price of $28.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Steward Equity Market has a beta of -0.19. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Steward Equity are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Steward Equity Market is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Steward Equity Market has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Steward Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Steward Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steward Equity Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.6128.0628.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.5325.9830.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.3627.8128.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.9928.2828.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Steward Equity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Steward Equity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Steward Equity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Steward Equity Market.

Steward Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Steward Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Steward Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Steward Equity Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Steward Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.43

Steward Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Steward Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Steward Equity Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Steward Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 66.49% of its assets in cash

Steward Equity Technical Analysis

Steward Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Steward Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Steward Equity Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Steward Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Steward Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Steward Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Steward Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Steward Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Steward Equity Market

Checking the ongoing alerts about Steward Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Steward Equity Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Steward Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 66.49% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Steward Mutual Fund

Steward Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Steward Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Steward with respect to the benefits of owning Steward Equity security.
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